In a recent discussion with a more liberal friend, he was making the point that cutting spending would be of concern for the current economy. This point of view could have some merits in 2009, although it would never be a good argument to waste money like the bulk of the stimulus package.
Even if that idea had merit, it does not now. Our economy is under assault from the Democratic Party and President Barack Obama as I have detailed before. But one of the great concerns with Obama is his absolute refusal to take spending and debt seriously. I even saw experts a year ago stating if we cut the budget by 100s of billions of dollars it would be positive for the economy. This is because one of the great fears for the private sector is the effects of the European debt crisis coming to the U.S. The reason I bring this up, is I think this relates to what we should have done about the payroll tax cut that both parties have agreed to extend.
Before I state what I think should be done now, I would like to comment on what was done for the two-month deal. As many of you know, I have stated I oppose raiding social security funds so politicians can give us money in an election year. I have suggested making the cut optional, let those who think this is such a great idea keep the cut, but if you take the money this year, when you start collecting social security your payment will be reduced by 1 percent forever. Obviously that is not going to happen, but the point is it is easy to be greedy and demand free money, when you assume someone else will pay for it.
I also stated that it is politically impossible to stop this. So the objective should be to minimize damage and get the best deal possible. My first problem with what has been done is that the “pay for it” is collected over 10 years. I would suggest the cuts should pay for the spending in no less than two years, so that after that the changes would be helpful to reducing the deficit.
The second issue is the way they decided to collect the money is a 0.1% charge on Fannie & Freddie loans effectively adding 0 .1% to all home loans. My issue with this is the government is covering losses at these firms right now and any money charged for home loans should be used to cover the losses at Fannie and Freddie and not used as a piggy bank. Finally, the House version solving the issue for the whole year was more sensible than the nonsense that came out of the Senate, right before the Senate left town without resolving differences with the House version. At least Boehner did get them to make a slight change to make it possible for payroll companies to handle the two-month law.
What should we have done for the rest of the year? I would suggest a deal on social security reform without a tax increase, but Obama has made it clear he wants no part of any serious attempt at fiscal responsibility. To pay for this bill the cuts should have been real spending cuts to this year’s budget equal to the amount of the money to be spent, or at least the money should be paid back in just two years with spending cuts being permanent as a start on dealing with deficit.
The “pay for” should also be only spending cuts. This would be impressive if the Democrats could have done the right thing for the first time in years. We all know that the Bush tax cuts expire next year and Obamacare adds several new taxes, so raising taxes is already in the baseline and is not a reasonable solution. At a later date we can have the debate, should we cut spending more to save some of the Bush tax cuts. Let’s not muddy the waters with that right now, since there will be no agreement until after the November elections. Instead, making any progress the Republicans have caved to avoid failure to extend the payroll tax cuts.
Now we have a deal that is worse than the sham of paying for it over 10 years. In this new deal we will just raid the social security and fund it with running a larger debt. It was bad enough to steal the surplus from social security. Given the Democrats have no taste for being responsible and that the GOP would lose the optics of this battle this may be the best we can do. We need to focus on getting control of the Senate and winning the presidency. So, for now, losing the battle is ok to give a chance to save the country from the disaster of the Democrats continuing to run the country into bankruptcy.
This will help set the focus for the 2012 elections. Democrats will have proved they will not take the fiscal health of the nation seriously, and are willing to risk everything to preserve their power by hiding from reality and the truth. We have the House willing to pass legislation to deal with our challenges, but Harry Reid and the Democrats in the Senate will not act like adults. Are we going to fix the Senate by getting more conservative members who will be responsible enough to pass a budget and take the future of this country seriously or will we leave Obama – Reid in charge.
True fiscal conservatives would have reined G.W. Bush in instead of rubber-stamping. All this lot has to offer now are cuts that protect the ill- and questionably-gotten gains of their benefactors. Enough already.
1. Political system flaws: a. Federal: the anonymous filibuster in US Senate b. State: Frankenstein veto, quarom rule abuses, recall abuse c. All levels: gerrymandered districts, pervasive special interest money 2. Government Incompetence a. Politicians over-riding priority is re-election, NOT the welfare of their districts. These two should be the same, but by engaing in deficit spending to fund boundless broad promises and adjusting policy to cater to special interests, incumbents get re-elected at high rates, spend most of their time campaigning, and little time is spent to solve our festering problems. b. Due to political flaws above, most which are facililated by both major political parties, politicians now adopt more extreme positions and rarely work together. c. In those times when one party controls both the executive and legislature hubris sets in and they inevitably go too far. When government is split, gridlock often results. Big problems loom, Democrats rationalize, Republicans talk - it is not inspiring.
1. Government financing of all elections. 2. Term limits. The founders never envisioned career politicians staying in two year offices for decades, such as Jim Sensenbrenner.
A: The Chevy might reach 50.
http://www.factcheck.org/2011/07/fiscal-factcheck/ Pay attention to the lists and charts of federal spending versus federal revenue by category. You will see that even in the year 2010, payroll taxes accounted for 40% of federal revenue, while Social Security (20.4%) and Medicare (13.1%) account for 33.5% of federal spending. I have my reservations about cuts to the payroll tax, not because they aren't warranted to leave more money in the pockets of the average citizen to spend and boost the economy, but because the GOP will use any excuse to harp on the deficit to begin to dismantle Social Security and Medicare.
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/may/13/social-security-deficits-now-permanent-feature/
We currently have a debt ratio to GDP of 100%, and growing. Debt is never a good thing and artificially deflating interest is an option in which its affects are minisule as the value of the dollar decreases. If fuel and food products were put back into the inflation rate, we would tipping the Carter years of 17% inflation. Just like in you home budget, you cannot spend your way out of debt. Until someone on your side finally agrees to real cuts, my side will never agree to tax increases. Obama's Budget increases spending $78 billion per year, yet his tax on the rich only generates $2 billion. It is so bad that even Harry Reid won't bring it up for a vote. Until social security and medicare are fixed, until we stop giving people an incentive to not work, until we address the 800lb. gorilla, the scenes you see in Greece will soon come here. We already saw what happens when the entitled are expected to pay like everyone else. Wait until there is no money for entitlements. That day is drawing closer.
Why is it, then, that these are the first things pointed at by the GOP for 'necessary' cuts? Why does no one ever suggest cutting military spending? Your side already had tax cuts, and it got us into our current mess.
I'm afraid Lyle, those who think government is the answer to all our social misgivings, have done more harm to the American dream, than good. I don't want to see a European economy or culture replace life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. We are watching the extreme socialistic societies crumble, much like the so-called utopian communism di in the 80's.
Award: pontificate patch blooter. Unlike your writings, no insult intended. Just a fact.
Further, the promise I was made at age 18 isn't the case anymore. Then, at age 62, I was suppose to get full benefits. I now have to wait until I'm 67. Not complaining, just planned to not count on SS for my retirement, as how many in my generation and below are preparing. If anyone is extreme, it is those that say give me mine, and who cares about the next generation. At least the left is consistant. It still always will be the "me first" party.
Spot on. Libs like Lyle move the shrouded agenda that remains focused on themselves and somehow someone will find the funds for the next generation. It rings hollow for most.
Anyone who is concerned about social justice is labeled as a liberal idiot and only concerned about him or her self out of selfish interest. This kind of cynical accusation is done only to discredit any and all opposition to the narrow view held by the self righteous and sanctimonious right.
http://sussex.patch.com/blog_posts/deficit-reduction-time-to-drop-the-analogies-stupid It's all about the net foreign debt which is not nearly as urgent a problem. Even the GOP has left this issue and are now looking for other distractions from the reality that BHO is gaining in the polls as the GOP nomination circus continues. To me the real question is where are the jobs bills that the GOP promised when the were campaigning for the 2010 midterms?
See comments from Democrats Below http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/07/11/AR2010071101956.html http://usactionnews.com/2011/04/democrat-agrees-that-america-faces-%E2%80%98most-predictable-economic-crisis-in-history%E2%80%99-within-2-years/ http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/07/11/AR2010071101956.html
The same Senate that has gone over 1000 days since passing a budget. For list of bills waiting on the Senate, many Democrats may feel pressured to support some bills so Harry Reid will not allow votes on those ever. http://www.gop.gov/indepth/jobs/tracker